ABBOT'S WICK

Sri Lanka faced a severe economic crisis in 2022. Inflation hit 70% in September, the highest since independence. This was due to monetary financing, currency depreciation, and rising global commodity prices.

The cost-of-living crisis hit the nation hard. The government introduced austerity policies and fiscal tightening to stabilize the economy. They also implemented price controls and raised interest rates to curb inflation.

Despite these efforts, GDP was expected to shrink by 2.3% in FY2023. A recovery of 4.4% was projected for FY2024. The agricultural sector showed strength, with exports rising in early 2024.

The crisis deeply affected the population. In 2024, 23.4% lived below $3.65 per day. Another 64.3% lived on less than $6.85 per day. Unemployment stayed around 4.7% in 2022 and 2023.

The government worked to boost exports and attract foreign investment. They also managed external debt, which was 43% of GDP in 2024.

Key Takeaways

• Inflation in Sri Lanka peaked at 70% in September 2022, the highest since independence.
• The government implemented austerity measures, fiscal tightening, and price controls to address the economic crisis.
• GDP growth was forecasted to contract by 2.3% in FY2023, with a projected recovery of 4.4% in FY2024.
• The agricultural sector showed resilience, with exports surging in the first half of 2024.
• Poverty rates remained high, with 64.3% of the population living on less than $6.85 per day in 2024.

Sri Lanka’s Economic Crisis and Record-High Inflation

In 2022, Sri Lanka faced a severe economic crisis. Inflation peaked at an alarming 70%. The nation’s vulnerabilities worsened due to policy mistakes and global shocks.

Foreign exchange reserves depleted rapidly. This led to widespread social unrest and political instability. Citizens struggled with shortages of essential goods and services.

Preexisting Vulnerabilities and Policy Missteps

Sri Lanka’s economy was already fragile. Droughts, political crises, and terrorist attacks had taken their toll. Unsustainable policies, like significant tax cuts, made things worse.

The country entered the pandemic unprepared. It had thin reserves, high debt, and limited fiscal space. These factors left Sri Lanka vulnerable to economic shocks.

Impact of Global Shocks and Depleted Reserves

The war in Ukraine in early 2022 devastated Sri Lanka’s economy. With empty reserves, the nation faced a debt default. Importing essential goods became difficult, causing fuel shortages and power cuts.

Despite challenges, Sri Lankans united during Vesak celebrations. They found hope and unity amid the crisis.

Social Unrest and Political Instability

Economic hardships led to social unrest and political instability. Protests erupted, demanding solutions to shortages and government accountability. These events resulted in leadership changes.

Some sectors showed resilience amid the crisis. Apparel, textiles, and coconut-based products grew in September 2024. OMP Sri Lanka reported this positive trend.

Inflation Peaks at 70% in 2022; Government Implements Austerity Measures

Sri Lanka faced a severe economic crisis in 2022. Inflation skyrocketed to 70%, driven by monetary financing and rupee depreciation. Global commodity prices surged, followed by administrative price hikes.

Essential goods became scarce, and many lost their jobs. The tourism industry was hit particularly hard. Schools closed, and a food crisis loomed due to fertilizer shortages.

Causes of Hyperinflation: Monetary Financing and Currency Depreciation

Sri Lanka’s high public debt exceeded 70% of GDP. Low fiscal revenue made the country vulnerable to external shocks. Decreased government spending and poor financial management led to lower productivity.

Government’s Response: Fiscal Tightening and Price Controls

The government introduced austerity measures to tackle the crisis. These included tax increases and spending cuts. The central bank tightened monetary policy to curb inflation.

Temporary import suspensions were used to stabilize the economy. However, these actions increased the tax burden on individuals and businesses. State-owned enterprises suffered substantial losses, requiring government intervention.

The government’s response aimed to restore financial stability. It faced challenges from strikes and protests over salary demands. The goal was to start a disinflation process and economic recovery.

Sri Lanka faces a severe economic crisis, causing a sharp rise in poverty. The country’s poverty rate has doubled since 2019, reaching 25% in 2023. Five million Sri Lankans now live below the poverty line.

Middle-income poverty now affects over 25% of the population. More than 17% face food insecurity, needing humanitarian aid. Malnutrition rates among children under five have hit 31%.

Unemployment rates are high, reaching 9.6% overall and 20% for youth. Northern and eastern regions face even higher rates, around 10-12%. Food inflation peaked at over 90% in 2022, worsening the situation.

The government is working towards economic recovery. They’ve implemented the IMF Extended Fund Facility program, providing $336 million. The new Central Bank Act aims to ensure independence and prevent money printing.

Recovery remains challenging. The IMF forecasts slow growth: 2% in 2024 and 2.7% in 2025. To reduce poverty, Sri Lanka needs growth rates over 6%.

Political risks loom with upcoming elections. These uncertainties could impact Sri Lanka’s economic policies. The road to recovery is long and complex.

Key Takeaways

• Sri Lanka’s poverty rate has risen to 25% amid the economic crisis, with five million people living below the poverty line.
• Food insecurity affects over 17% of the population, and 31% of children under five suffer from malnutrition.
• Unemployment rates remain high, particularly among the youth and in the northern and eastern regions.
• The government is implementing measures to stabilize the economy, including the IMF Extended Fund Facility program and the Central Bank Act.
• Economic recovery faces challenges, with the IMF forecasting tepid growth rates and political uncertainties looming.

World Bank Supports Sri Lanka’s Development Goals

The World Bank aids Sri Lanka’s development in education, health, and social protection. These efforts aim to boost economic growth and reduce poverty. Sri Lanka’s poverty rate hit 25% during recent economic troubles.

Education Sector Interventions and Key Results

The World Bank develops human capital across all education levels. The Early Childhood Development Project has helped 1.5 million children. The General Education Modernization project has improved learning for 1.3 million students.

These programs equip Sri Lanka’s youth with vital skills. They are crucial for driving future economic growth and development.

Health Sector Interventions and Key Results

The World Bank strengthens primary healthcare and COVID-19 response in Sri Lanka. It provided $21.6 million for essential medicines and supplies. This ensures access to critical healthcare during challenging times.

Investing in citizens’ health remains a top priority. It’s crucial as Sri Lanka recovers from its economic crisis.

Social Protection Reforms and Emergency Response

The World Bank is reforming Sri Lanka’s social safety net. A $75 million project aims to create a more effective social protection system. A $145 million emergency package supports the most vulnerable households.

These efforts help mitigate rising poverty levels. They ensure no one is left behind as Sri Lanka rebuilds its economy.

The recent strengthening of the Sri Lankan Rupee is a positive sign. The record-breaking paddy harvest in the 2024 Yala season shows the country’s resilience. These developments highlight Sri Lanka’s potential for recovery.

Sri Lanka’s Poverty Rate Rises to 25% Amid Economic Turmoil

Sri Lanka’s economic crisis has hit its population hard. The poverty rate jumped to 25% in 2022, up from 11% in 2019. The World Bank expects poverty to stay above 20% for the next few years.

Food insecurity has become widespread. Over 17% of people need humanitarian aid in 2023. Alarmingly, 31% of children under five are malnourished.

Economic Crisis Leads to Spike in Poverty Levels

Misgovernance and lack of accountability have fueled Sri Lanka’s economic woes. The reversal of the organic farming policy added to the country’s challenges. The IMF provided a loan in March 2023, opening doors for more funding.

The IMF program aims to boost government revenues and fight corruption. It also focuses on improving social welfare for the citizens.

Inflation and Food Insecurity Exacerbate Poverty

Inflation has worsened poverty in Sri Lanka. The Central Bank wants to keep inflation below 5% in 2024. However, it may rise as demand increases.

Sri Lanka has made progress in poultry production. The article “Sri Lanka Achieves Self-Sufficiency in Poultry” highlights this achievement. Yet, ensuring food security for all remains a challenge.

Government Policies and Debt Restructuring Efforts

President Ranil Wickremesinghe’s government faces criticism for its crisis management. It has used repressive laws to silence critics. The administration is also accused of failing to address corruption.

Despite challenges, the government is working on debt restructuring. It’s implementing policies to boost exports and attract foreign investment. The focus is also on tackling poverty and financial sector vulnerabilities.

The World Bank projects Sri Lanka’s economy to grow by 3.5% in 2025. However, crucial reforms are needed for sustainable growth and poverty reduction.